Plenary
Sessions
| Speaker:
|
Jianqing
Fan, Department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering,
Princeton University |
| Title: |
Overview
and Developments of Nonparametric Methods in
Financial Econometrics |
|
Abstract
This
talk gives an overview on the nonparametric techniques that
are useful for financial econometrics. The problems include
estimation and inferences of instantaneous returns and volatility
functions, time-dependent stochastic models, estimation of transition
densities and state price densities. We first briefly describe
the problems and then outline main techniques and main results.
In particular, we will discuss in detail the new development
on the dynamically integrating the time- and state-domain methods
for volatility estimation. The former predominantly uses the
data in the recent history while the latter mainly rely on historical
information. Motivated by a study of the Bayesian estimation
of volatility, we propose to estimate the volatility via dynamically
integrating information from both the time and the state domains.
The estimators from both domains are optimally combined based
on a data driven weighting strategy, which results in several
more efficient estimators. Some useful probabilistic aspects
of diffusion processes are also briefly summarized to facilitate
our presentation and applications.
|
| Speaker:
|
Kung-Yee Liang, Nat'l Health Research Inst, Taiwan & Johns Hopkins
U |
| Title: |
Multipoint
Linkage Analysis Using Sibpairs: Dealing with Complex Disease |
|
Abstract
One
of central questions in genetic epidemiology is how to locate
the susceptibility genes for diseases. In this regard, the traditional
affected sibpair design has been and continues to be a popular
approach to help investigators to narrow the chromosomal regions.
This information will in turn be useful for fine mapping by
carrying out association studies, either family-based or population-based,
with a considerably larger number of SNPs. In this talk, by
building upon the earlier work of Liang, Chiu and Beaty (Human
Heredity, 2001), we discuss how this method maybe expanded to
dealing with complex diseases, which face challenging issues
including, among others, gene-gene interaction, genetic heterogeneity,
imprinting, etc. These issues along with the proposed methods
will be illustrated through genetic studies of asthma, schizophrenia
and bipolar disorder, some of which are ongoing.
|
| Speaker:
|
David
O Siegmund,
Stanford University |
| Title: |
Model
Selection in Irregular Problems: Applications to Gene Mapping |
|
Abstract
Two
methods of model selection are discussed for change-point like
problems, especially those arising in genetic linkage analysis.
The
first is a method that selects the model with the smallest p-value,
while the second is a modification of the Bayes Information
Criterion (BIC). The methods are compared theoretically and
on examples from the literature. For these examples, they are
roughly comparable although the p-value based method is somewhat
more liberal in selecting a high dimensional model.
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